Reward – RB DeMarco Murray, Cowboys
Murray’s miserable 2012 campaign and injury history has dropped his draft stock tremendously for 2013, currently ranking 20th among running backs. While there is the risk of another injury-riddled season, the reward is worth the risk. Murray has the look of a feature back and a fantasy stud with a 220 pound frame, ample speed and quickness. He has displayed flashes of greatness in the past, and if he can play a full season, Murray has the potential to finish as a top-10 running back.
Reward – WR Chris Givens, Rams
The Rams finally added some flash to their offense when they drafted Tavon Austin this spring. However, even if he stays healthy, we don’t know if he’s going to be number one in Bradford’s pecking order right off the bat. That’s where Givens comes in. He is fast, possesses adequate size and has good hands. In an offense that will likely be passing-first, Givens has the potential to be a top earner for the Rams. He is a true value-play here, as he’s falling past the eighth and ninth rounds in most drafts.
Risk – RB Alfred Morris, Redskins
Morris had a rookie season for the ages, finishing second in the NFL in rushing yards as a sixth-round draft pick. Defenses underestimated Morris last year because of his boring, grind-it-out playing style. This year they will be ready. While Morris likely has a bright future in the NFL, I believe a sophomore slump is in the works for him this year; teams will often stack the box given the amount of running the Redskins do between Morris and RGIII. I don’t think Morris has the skills to overcome defenses keying on him, and if RGIII goes down, then his stock will drop even further. Morris will have productive games this year, but don’t expect him to repeat his 2012 numbers.
Risk - Danny Amendola, Patriots
If Amendola can stay healthy for a full ledger then he may be in for a breakout season in New England. Unfortunately, this has been a problem in the past. Amendola has suffered repeated concussions and nagging leg injuries. I love the way he plays the game, and he is definitely a tough competitor, but his injury past scares me, and I’m not sold on him yet. Unless he falls past the fifth round, I say to look elsewhere; there are safer options.